Professor Paul Whiteley

Party conference season is here – but decades of polling evidence suggests these events barely move the dial

03 October 2023

US election 2024: beware polling predictions as they can be wrong – but here’s an approach which has often been on the money

Professor Paul Whiteley

23 August 2023

The UK’s top financial influencers skew Conservative – which helps explain why Keir Starmer’s Labour is so anxious about uncosted spending pledges

Professor Paul Whiteley

09 August 2023

Liberal Democrats: why a coalition with Labour wouldn’t cause electoral annihilation like their deal with the Tories

Professor Paul Whiteley

31 May 2023

A painful picture for the Tories: forecasting the general election from the local results

Professor Paul Whiteley

12 May 2023

Can Rishi Sunak save the Tories? Voting behaviour over time suggests it will take more than personal appeal to win the next election

Professor Paul Whiteley

04 May 2023

Humza Yousaf becomes Scotland’s first minister: a decade of polls suggest he’ll struggle to deliver independence, just like Nicola Sturgeon

Professor Paul Whiteley

27 March 2023

Rising inflation will continue to cause political headaches for the government, but also for the Bank of England

Professor Paul Whiteley

27 March 2023

Strikes: why refusing public sector pay rises won’t help reduce inflation

Professor Paul Whiteley

25 January 2023

Inflation: how to improve official predictions – by asking the public

Professor Paul Whiteley

16 November 2022

70 years of data suggest the Conservatives will suffer a big defeat at the next election – here’s how I worked it out

Professor Paul Whiteley

31 October 2022

Tory leadership race: will Liz Truss’s tax cut proposals win her votes? Here’s what voter data says

Professor Paul Whiteley

05 September 2022

Local, national and international Government, can provide a wide range of public service roles.

Tory leadership race: will Liz Truss’s tax cut proposals win her votes? Here’s what voter data says

Professor Paul Whiteley

01 September 2022

Categories

Party conference season is here – but decades of polling evidence suggests these events barely move the dial

US election 2024: beware polling predictions as they can be wrong – but here’s an approach which has often been on the money

The UK’s top financial influencers skew Conservative – which helps explain why Keir Starmer’s Labour is so anxious about uncosted spending pledges

Liberal Democrats: why a coalition with Labour wouldn’t cause electoral annihilation like their deal with the Tories

A painful picture for the Tories: forecasting the general election from the local results

Can Rishi Sunak save the Tories? Voting behaviour over time suggests it will take more than personal appeal to win the next election

Humza Yousaf becomes Scotland’s first minister: a decade of polls suggest he’ll struggle to deliver independence, just like Nicola Sturgeon

Rising inflation will continue to cause political headaches for the government, but also for the Bank of England

Strikes: why refusing public sector pay rises won’t help reduce inflation

Inflation: how to improve official predictions – by asking the public

70 years of data suggest the Conservatives will suffer a big defeat at the next election – here’s how I worked it out

Tory leadership race: will Liz Truss’s tax cut proposals win her votes? Here’s what voter data says

Tory leadership race: will Liz Truss’s tax cut proposals win her votes? Here’s what voter data says