Peer-reviewed journal papers

Rakow, T. (in press). Self-insight research as (double) model recovery.

[Peer commentary on: Newell, B.R. & Shanks, D.R. Unconscious influences on decision making: A critical review. Behavioral & Brain Sciences]

Rakow, T. (in press). If quantum probability = classical probability + bounded cognition; is this good, bad, or unnecessary?

[Peer commentary on: Pothos, E.M., & Busemeyer, J.R. Can quantum probability provide a new direction for cognitive modeling? Behavioral & Brain Sciences]

Newell, B.R., Koehler, D.J., James, G., Rakow, T., & Van Ravenzwaaij (2013). Probability matching in risky choice: The interplay of feedback and strategy availability. Memory and Cognition, 41, 329-338. DOI: 10.3758/s13421-012-0268-3 abstract

Rakow, T., Wright, R.J., Bull, C., Spiegelhalter, D.J. (2012). Simple and multi-state survival curves: Can people learn to use them? Medical Decision Making, 32, 792-804. DOI: 10.1177/0272989X12451057 abstract

Bindemann, M., Avetisyan, M., & Rakow, T. (2012). Selecting personnel to recognize unfamiliar faces: Individual differences and observer consistency in person identification. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 18, 227-291.   abstract

Yechiam, E., & Rakow, T. (2012). The effect of foregone outcomes on choices from experience: An individual level modeling analysis. Experimental Psychology, 59, 55-67. DOI: 10.1027/1618-3169/a000126 abstract

Cahill, S., & Rakow, T. (2012). Assessing risk and prioritising referral for self-harm: When and why is my judgement different from yours? Clinical Psychology and Psychotherapy, 19, 399-410. DOI: 10.1002/cpp.544 abstract

Newell, B.R., & Rakow, T. (2011). Revising beliefs about the merit of unconscious thought: Evidence in favor of the null hypothesis? Social Cognition, 29, 711-726. link to paper

Edwards, S.J.L., Brown, P., Twyman, M.A., Christie, D., Rakow, T. (2011). A qualitative study of selecting surrogate decision-makers. Journal of Medical Ethics, 37,601-605. abstract

Liley, J., & Rakow, T. (2010). Probability estimation in poker: A qualified success for unaided judgment. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 23, 496-526. abstract

Rakow, T. (2010). Risk, uncertainty and prophet: The psychological insights of Frank H. Knight. Judgment and Decision Making, 5, 458-466. abstract

Rakow, T., Newell, B.R., & Zougkou, K. (2010). The role of working memory in information acquisition and decision making: Lessons from the binary prediction task. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 63, 1335-1360. abstract

Rakow, T., & Newell, B.R. (2010). Degrees of uncertainty: An overview and framework for future research on experience-based choice. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 23, 1-14. abstract

Rakow, T., & Rahim, S.B. (2010). Developmental insights into experience-based decision making. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 23, 69-82. abstract
 
Li, S.Y.W., Rakow, T., & Newell, B.R. (2009). Personal experience in doctor and patient decision making: From psychology to medicine. Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice, 15, 993-995. abstract

Rakow, T., & Miler, K. (2009). Doomed to repeat the successes of the past: History is best forgotten for repeated choices with non-stationary payoffs. Memory and Cognition, 37, 985-1000. abstract

Newell, B.R., Wong, K.Y., Cheung, J., & Rakow, T. (2009). Think, Blink or Sleep on it? The Impact of Modes of Thought on Complex Decision Making. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 62, 707-732. abstract

Rakow, T., Demes, K.A., & Newell, B.R. (2008). Biased samples not mode of presentation: Re-examining the apparent underweighting of rare events in experience-based choice. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 106, 168-179. abstract

Newell, B.R., & Rakow, T. (2007). The role of experience in decisions from description. Psychonomic Bulletin and Review, 14, 1133-1139. abstract

Andersson, P., & Rakow, T. (2007). Now you see it now you don’t: The effectiveness of the recognition heuristic for selecting stocks. Judgment and Decision Making, 2(1), 29-39. abstract

Rakow, T., Newell, B.R., Fayers, K., & Hersby, M. (2005). Evaluating three frameworks for establishing cue-search hierarchies in inferential judgment. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory and Cognition, 31(5), 1088-1104. abstract

Rakow, T., Vincent, C., Bull, C., Harvey, N. (2005). Assessing the likelihood of an important clinical outcome: New insights from a comparison of clinical and actuarial judgment. Medical Decision Making, 25(3), 262-282. abstract

Newell, B.R., Rakow, T., Weston, N.J., Shanks, D.R. (2004). Search strategies in decision-making: The success of ‘success’. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 17, 117-137. abstract

Rakow, T., Seth, Eunomia. (2004). Chaos and good order in the assessment and communication of risk. Clinical Risk, 10(3), 97-101.

Orbell, S., Perugini, M., Rakow, T. (2004). Individual differences in sensitivity to health communication: Consideration of future consequences. Health Psychology, 23(4), 388-396.

Rakow, T., Hinvest, N., Jackson, E., Palmer, M. (2004). Simple Heuristics from the Adaptive Toolbox: Can we perform the requisite learning? Thinking and Reasoning, 10(1), 1-29. abstract

O’Sullivan, I., Orbell, S., Rakow, T., Parker, R. (2004). Prospective research in health service settings: Health psychology, science and the ‘Hawthorne’ effect. Journal of Health Psychology, 9(3), 355-359.

Rakow, T., Bull, C. (2003). Same patient, different advice: A study into why doctors vary. Archives of Disease in Childhood, 88, 497-502. abstract

Rakow, T., Harvey, N. Finer, S., (2003). Improving calibration without training: The role of task information. Applied Cognitive Psychology, 17(4), 419-441. abstract

Furnham, A., Rakow, T., Mak, T. (2002). The determinants of parents' beliefs about the intelligence of their children: A study from Hong Kong. International Journal of Psychology, 37(6), 343-352.

Rakow, T. (2001). Differences in beliefs about likely outcomes account for differences in doctors’ treatment preferences: But what accounts for the differences in belief? Quality in Health Care, 10, i44-i49. abstract

Rakow, T. (2001). Theorize it both ways? Behavioral & Brain Sciences, 24(3), 425-426.
[Peer commentary on: Hertwig, R., Ortmann, A. (2001) Experimental practices in economics: A methodological challenge for psychologists. Behavioral & Brain Sciences, 24(3), 383-403.]

Furnham, A., Rakow, T., Sarany-Schuller, I., De Fruyt, F. (1999). European differences in self-perceived multiple intelligences. European Psychologist, 4(3), 131-138.

Books

O'Hagan, A., Buck, C.E., Daneshkhah, A., Eiser, J.R., Garthwaite, P.H., Jenkinson, D.J., Oakley, J.E., & Rakow, T. (2006). Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Expert Probabilities. Chichester: Wiley.

Horbury, C., Collier, D., Wright, M., Hawkins, J., Rakow, T. (2002) The effectiveness and impact of the PABIAC initiative in reducing accidents in the paper industry. Contract Research Report 452/2002 for the Health and Safety Executive. Sudbury: HSE Books