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Data from the British Election Study
(BES) rolling campaign survey. |
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May - June
2001 |
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The British Election
Study is based at the University of Essex. Its principal investigators are |
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David Sanders, Paul
Whiteley, Harold Clarke and Marianne Stewart. |
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Approximately
150 respondents are interviewed by telephone each day of the election |
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campaign by The Gallup
Organization. |
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Responsibility for the
design and interpretation of the survey lies with the principal |
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investigators. |
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The daily responses are
being cumulated over seven days, to give more than 1000 cases. The |
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cumulative file achieved
enough cases for analysis to be done on May 14th |
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(see
previous response page). On each subsequent day an extra 150 cases are added,
and |
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the daily responses are
being cumulated over seven days, to give more than 1000 cases. The |
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cross - section sample
and all the analyses on this website are based on these samples. |
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The
data presented here represent the marginals from a selected number of
questions from |
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the survey. |
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All figures given in percentages |
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THIS IS A PRINT ONLY
VERSION OF THE DATA. |
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Current vote intention |
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May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
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Conservative |
28.7 |
28.3 |
28.4 |
27.2 |
26.1 |
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Labour |
52.6 |
53.1 |
52.6 |
52.4 |
53.4 |
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Liberal Democrat |
13.1 |
13.1 |
13.0 |
14.0 |
14.5 |
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Scottish National Party (SNP) |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
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Plaid Cymru |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
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Green Party |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
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Other Party |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
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This measure combines the
responses to q's 5-7 |
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| 1. How interested are you in the General
Election? |
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Not at all interested |
9.3 |
9.8 |
9.4 |
9.6 |
9.6 |
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Not very interested |
27.9 |
28.1 |
27.1 |
25.3 |
25.5 |
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Somewhat interested |
37.5 |
36.8 |
37.7 |
39.1 |
39.7 |
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Very interested |
24.1 |
24.2 |
24.9 |
25.2 |
24.3 |
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May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
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| 2.
What is the single most important issue in this Election? |
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Other |
16.8 |
17.5 |
17.5 |
16.4 |
16.2 |
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No important issues |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
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Europe |
13.9 |
13.2 |
12.9 |
11.7 |
11.9 |
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Economy |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
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Education |
10.2 |
10.3 |
11.6 |
12.8 |
12.6 |
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Foot and mouth |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
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Inflation, prices generally |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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Law and Order/Crime |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
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National Health Service |
25.9 |
25.5 |
24.8 |
25.2 |
25.4 |
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Pensions |
6.6 |
6.2 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
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Taxation |
5.6 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
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Transportation - public transport |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
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Unemployment |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
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| 3. Which party is best able to handle this issue? |
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Other |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
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Don't know |
11.3 |
11.9 |
9.2 |
9.7 |
11.1 |
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None/No party closest |
13.1 |
13.2 |
13.8 |
12.8 |
12.9 |
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Conservative |
23.8 |
23.4 |
23.8 |
23.1 |
21.8 |
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Labour |
43.3 |
42.8 |
43.2 |
43.1 |
43.5 |
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Liberal Democrat |
6.2 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
8.9 |
8.5 |
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SNP |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
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Plaid Cymru |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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Green Party |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
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| 4. How likely is it that you will vote in the Election? |
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0 - Very unlikely |
8.2 |
8.8 |
9.0 |
9.5 |
9.0 |
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1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
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2 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
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3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
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4 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
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5 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
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6 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
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7 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
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8 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
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9 |
5.8 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
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10 - Very likely |
58.7 |
58.7 |
60.2 |
60.8 |
60.4 |
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Mean |
8.0 |
7.9 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
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std deviation |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
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| 5. If you do vote in the General Election, have you decided? |
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Yes - decided |
61.1 |
60.7 |
61.6 |
63.8 |
63.8 |
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No - not decided yet |
36.1 |
36.0 |
34.8 |
32.5 |
32.9 |
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Will not vote |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
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May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
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| 6. Which party will you vote for? |
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Other |
1.6 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
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Conservative |
28.4 |
28.2 |
28.5 |
27.7 |
26.9 |
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Labour |
56.8 |
57.7 |
56.7 |
55.5 |
55.6 |
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Liberal Democrat |
10.0 |
10.0 |
10.5 |
11.6 |
12.3 |
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SNP |
1.3 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
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Plaid Cymru |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
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Green Party |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
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| 7. Which party do you think you are most likely to vote for? (Applies to respondents Q5= No) |
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Other party |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
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Don't know |
24.2 |
24.0 |
23.2 |
24.8 |
26.7 |
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Conservative |
22.2 |
21.5 |
21.5 |
19.2 |
17.5 |
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Labour |
32.6 |
32.5 |
33.0 |
33.1 |
34.5 |
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Liberal Democrat |
15.1 |
15.2 |
14.4 |
15.1 |
14.5 |
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SNP |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
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Plaid Cymru |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
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Green Party |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
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| 8. Which best describes your reasons for deciding to vote? (Applies
to respondents Q5 = Yes and preference given in Q6) |
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Other reason |
14.8 |
16.3 |
14.9 |
15.8 |
16.1 |
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Party has the best policies |
53.5 |
53.2 |
54.8 |
56.0 |
57.2 |
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Party has the best leader |
23.3 |
22.5 |
22.6 |
20.4 |
18.7 |
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Prefer
another party but it stands no chance of winning in my |
7.2 |
6.7 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
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constituency |
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| 9.Which party do you really prefer? (from Q8) |
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Other party |
8.4 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
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None |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
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Conservative |
17.5 |
15.4 |
18.7 |
12.8 |
12.3 |
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Labour |
31.3 |
32.1 |
33.0 |
35.1 |
34.0 |
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Liberal Democrat |
33.8 |
34.9 |
36.1 |
34.1 |
39.3 |
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Scottish National Party (SNP) |
2.1 |
2.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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Plaid Cymru |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
5.0 |
2.8 |
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Green Party |
2.9 |
3.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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| 10.Which best describes your reasons for deciding to vote? (Applies
to respondents Q5 = No and preference given in Q7) |
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Other reason |
17.2 |
18.5 |
19.4 |
18.9 |
20.2 |
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Don't know |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
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Best policies |
43.6 |
44.4 |
45.0 |
42.0 |
40.6 |
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Best leader |
16.8 |
16.3 |
16.0 |
16.3 |
16.7 |
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Prefer
another party but it stands no chance of winning in my |
20.1 |
19.2 |
17.9 |
20.0 |
19.5 |
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constituency |
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May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
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| 11.Which party do you really prefer? (from Q10) |
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Other party |
7.6 |
8.1 |
4.9 |
3.0 |
1.5 |
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None |
5.0 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
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Conservative |
14.9 |
15.4 |
9.6 |
10.3 |
9.1 |
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Labour |
19.4 |
23.9 |
27.9 |
30.1 |
26.7 |
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Liberal Democrat |
34.5 |
33.4 |
36.9 |
37.3 |
39.4 |
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Scottish National Party (SNP) |
4.7 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
6.5 |
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Plaid Cymru |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
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Green Party |
4.4 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
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| 12. Government's handling of
the foot and mouth crisis? |
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very bad job |
19.8 |
19.6 |
20.4 |
19.6 |
18.5 |
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bad job |
34.9 |
34.1 |
33.4 |
34.2 |
34.0 |
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good job |
42.4 |
43.0 |
42.7 |
42.5 |
43.9 |
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very good job |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
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Party Leaders like -
dislike scales |
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| 13. Tony Blair |
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0 - Strongly dislike |
9.3 |
9.0 |
9.0 |
8.3 |
7.5 |
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1 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
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2 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
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3 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
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4 |
6.6 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
6.2 |
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5 |
17.1 |
17.1 |
17.2 |
18.1 |
18.4 |
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6 |
10.6 |
10.6 |
10.0 |
9.9 |
10.2 |
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7 |
13.6 |
13.5 |
13.3 |
12.8 |
13.0 |
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8 |
16.5 |
16.6 |
18.3 |
18.2 |
18.6 |
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9 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
6.6 |
7.0 |
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10 - Strongly like |
8.1 |
7.7 |
8.0 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
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Mean |
5.7 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
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std deviation |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
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| 14. William Hague |
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0 - Strongly dislike |
19.5 |
18.3 |
18.9 |
18.9 |
17.5 |
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1 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
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2 |
9.6 |
9.5 |
9.3 |
9.9 |
10.9 |
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3 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
8.3 |
8.5 |
9.0 |
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4 |
9.3 |
10.2 |
10.6 |
11.7 |
12.3 |
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5 |
19.2 |
20.2 |
19.2 |
18.5 |
19.2 |
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6 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
8.2 |
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7 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
6.7 |
7.0 |
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8 |
7.8 |
8.2 |
7.4 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
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9 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
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10 - Strongly like |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
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Mean |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
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std deviation |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
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May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
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| 15. Charles Kennedy |
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0 - Strongly dislike |
6.6 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
6.0 |
5.2 |
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1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
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2 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
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3 |
6.6 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
6.2 |
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|
4 |
10.6 |
10.1 |
10.4 |
10.0 |
10.7 |
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|
5 |
27.3 |
26.8 |
27.1 |
26.4 |
26.3 |
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|
6 |
12.2 |
13.0 |
12.2 |
12.2 |
12.5 |
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|
7 |
12.3 |
12.8 |
13.1 |
14.5 |
14.7 |
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|
8 |
11.3 |
11.2 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
11.0 |
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|
9 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
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10 - Strongly like |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
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Mean |
5.1 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
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std deviation |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
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| 14 John Swinney |
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0 Strongly dislike |
4.4 |
4.3 |
8.6 |
9.3 |
11.6 |
|
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|
1 |
7.6 |
6.6 |
8.0 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
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2 |
11.0 |
11.9 |
11.1 |
8.9 |
10.0 |
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|
3 |
8.4 |
7.3 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
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4 |
9.9 |
7.8 |
8.3 |
8.2 |
7.5 |
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|
5 |
30.2 |
35.6 |
38.2 |
41.3 |
35.5 |
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|
6 |
19.4 |
19.0 |
16.2 |
18.3 |
16.2 |
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|
7 |
8.1 |
6.4 |
5.4 |
4.4 |
5.8 |
|
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|
8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
2.0 |
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|
9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
|
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|
10 Strongly like |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
|
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Mean |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 15. Ieuan Wyn Jones |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 Strongly dislike |
9.3 |
13.3 |
9.9 |
7.9 |
8.2 |
|
|
|
1 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
2 |
6.0 |
8.4 |
8.5 |
6.3 |
6.9 |
|
|
|
3 |
11.7 |
9.9 |
11.7 |
12.2 |
9.7 |
|
|
|
4 |
12.9 |
9.6 |
8.1 |
5.9 |
10.4 |
|
|
|
5 |
28.4 |
27.8 |
30.6 |
30.6 |
34.4 |
|
|
|
6 |
12.7 |
13.7 |
14.6 |
15.3 |
14.0 |
|
|
|
7 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
|
|
|
8 |
12.0 |
10.4 |
10.2 |
15.4 |
11.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
10 Strongly like |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Mean |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 16. Who would make the best Prime Minister? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tony Blair |
57.1 |
57.0 |
57.5 |
57.3 |
58.8 |
|
|
|
William Hague |
21.5 |
21.0 |
20.1 |
19.1 |
18.0 |
|
|
|
Charles Kennedy |
14.7 |
14.5 |
14.4 |
15.6 |
16.0 |
|
|
|
None |
6.2 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Someone else |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 17. Which party is most likely to win in your constituency? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Don't know/Not sure |
6.8 |
6.0 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
|
|
|
Election is too close to call |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
|
|
|
Conservative |
21.9 |
23.6 |
24.8 |
24.2 |
23.5 |
|
|
|
Labour |
61.6 |
60.5 |
59.8 |
60.2 |
60.7 |
|
|
|
Liberal Democrat |
7.5 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
8.1 |
|
|
|
Scottish National Party (SNP) |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
Plaid Cymru |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 18. Which party is most likely to win in the country? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Don't know/Not sure |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
|
|
|
Election is too close to call |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
Conservative |
5.8 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
|
|
|
Labour |
88.8 |
89.0 |
88.8 |
88.7 |
89.4 |
|
|
|
Liberal Democrats |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
Scottish National Party (SNP) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Green Party |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 19. Who did you vote for in 1997? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other party |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
Don't know/Not sure |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
|
|
|
Did not vote/Too young to vote in 1997 |
19.7 |
19.8 |
20.8 |
20.8 |
20.7 |
|
|
|
Conservative |
22.0 |
22.5 |
22.0 |
21.9 |
21.6 |
|
|
|
Labour |
45.1 |
44.4 |
43.6 |
43.0 |
43.6 |
|
|
|
Liberal Democrat |
7.8 |
7.8 |
8.0 |
8.8 |
8.9 |
|
|
|
Scottish National Party (SNP) |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
Plaid Cymru |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
Green Party |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
UK Independence Party |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
Referendum Party |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 20. How much attention do you pay to politics & public affairs? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 - Pay no attention to politics |
5.8 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
|
|
|
1 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
2 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
3 |
5.5 |
4.3 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
|
|
|
4 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
|
|
|
5 |
20.0 |
19.2 |
19.8 |
21.3 |
22.7 |
|
|
|
6 |
12.3 |
12.6 |
13.0 |
11.9 |
12.5 |
|
|
|
7 |
17.6 |
17.4 |
17.1 |
17.2 |
16.5 |
|
|
|
8 |
16.4 |
16.4 |
16.7 |
17.4 |
16.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
10 - Pay a great deal of attention to
politics |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
5.9 |
5.0 |
|
|
|
Mean |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
5.8 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 21. How much influence do you have on politics and public affairs? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 - Have no influence on politics at all |
37.0 |
36.6 |
36.1 |
37.0 |
37.7 |
|
|
|
1 |
7.3 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
|
|
|
2 |
13.9 |
14.1 |
13.7 |
13.3 |
13.1 |
|
|
|
3 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
9.4 |
8.8 |
9.5 |
|
|
|
4 |
8.3 |
8.4 |
8.3 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
|
|
|
5 |
13.3 |
13.5 |
14.4 |
14.5 |
13.7 |
|
|
|
6 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
|
|
|
7 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
|
|
|
8 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
9 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
10 - Have a great deal of influence
on politics |
1.7 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
|
|
|
Mean |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 22. Do you think of yourself as Conservative,
Labour, Liberal Democrat? |
Party identification sequence. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other party |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
3.3 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
None |
10.1 |
10.2 |
10.4 |
10.3 |
10.8 |
|
|
|
Conservative |
27.3 |
27.7 |
27.3 |
26.4 |
25.4 |
|
|
|
Labour |
45.2 |
45.4 |
45.8 |
46.3 |
46.6 |
|
|
|
Liberal Democrat |
8.6 |
8.8 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
9.7 |
|
|
|
Scottish National Party (SNP) |
2.1 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
Plaid Cymru |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
Green Party |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 23. Do you generally think of yourself as a little closer to one of
the parties than the others? (Applies if no party given in Q22) |
|
|
|
|
Other |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Don't know |
11.0 |
9.1 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
|
|
|
None |
53.3 |
54.7 |
53.8 |
54.1 |
56.7 |
|
|
|
Conservative |
9.1 |
10.9 |
10.7 |
11.3 |
10.8 |
|
|
|
Labour |
19.2 |
16.6 |
18.6 |
18.0 |
19.5 |
|
|
|
Liberal Democrat |
6.6 |
7.2 |
8.6 |
8.0 |
5.4 |
|
|
|
Scottish National Party(SNP) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
Plaid Cymru |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Green Party |
0.7 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 24. What is the strength of your party identification? (Applies if
party given in Q22 or Q23) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not very strong |
23.8 |
25.6 |
26.3 |
25.7 |
26.9 |
|
|
|
Fairly strong |
52.8 |
51.0 |
50.0 |
49.8 |
49.5 |
|
|
|
Very strong |
23.0 |
23.1 |
23.5 |
24.2 |
23.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 25 Financial situation of H.H. compare with 12
months ago? |
Economic indicators. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Got a lot worse |
7.8 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
|
|
|
Got a little worse |
14.7 |
14.0 |
14.9 |
15.8 |
15.7 |
|
|
|
Stayed the same |
40.6 |
41.2 |
40.4 |
40.1 |
39.5 |
|
|
|
Got a little better |
26.2 |
25.8 |
26.1 |
25.7 |
26.4 |
|
|
|
Got a lot better |
10.8 |
10.7 |
11.3 |
10.9 |
10.7 |
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 26. How will financial situation of H.H. change in next 12months? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Get a lot worse |
5.4 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
|
|
|
Get a little worse |
11.7 |
11.8 |
12.1 |
12.4 |
12.8 |
|
|
|
Stay the same |
46.8 |
47.8 |
47.2 |
46.0 |
45.8 |
|
|
|
Get a little better |
27.4 |
27.4 |
27.8 |
28.4 |
28.6 |
|
|
|
Get a lot better |
8.7 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
6.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 27. Change in general economic situation in last 12 months |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Got a lot worse |
6.6 |
6.3 |
7.3 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
|
|
|
Got a little worse |
18.9 |
20.6 |
19.7 |
19.3 |
18.2 |
|
|
|
Stayed the same |
27.8 |
27.3 |
27.1 |
27.1 |
27.0 |
|
|
|
Got a little better |
36.0 |
35.2 |
35.1 |
34.9 |
36.4 |
|
|
|
Got a lot better |
10.6 |
10.5 |
10.9 |
11.2 |
11.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 28. How will the general economic situation change next 12months? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Got a lot worse |
7.0 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
6.3 |
|
|
|
Got a little worse |
18.1 |
17.9 |
17.9 |
16.9 |
16.0 |
|
|
|
Stayed the same |
30.9 |
31.7 |
31.6 |
32.8 |
33.4 |
|
|
|
Got a little better |
36.2 |
34.9 |
34.9 |
34.6 |
35.4 |
|
|
|
Got a lot better |
7.8 |
8.4 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 29. If Britain were in economic difficulties, which party could
handle situation best? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Labour |
59.2 |
59.1 |
59.0 |
59.7 |
61.0 |
|
|
|
The Conservatives |
35.4 |
35.3 |
34.8 |
34.3 |
32.7 |
|
|
|
Neither |
5.2 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 30. Thinking of the Single European Currency, which is your view? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Definitely join |
12.9 |
13.8 |
14.0 |
14.5 |
14.4 |
|
|
|
Wait and see how it develops |
45.6 |
46.0 |
46.4 |
47.1 |
48.1 |
|
|
|
Definitely stay out |
41.5 |
40.3 |
39.6 |
38.4 |
37.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 31. What is your attitude toward Britain's membership of the European
Union? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Strongly disapprove |
9.7 |
9.8 |
10.5 |
9.5 |
8.3 |
|
|
|
Disapprove |
29.6 |
29.0 |
27.9 |
26.8 |
26.6 |
|
|
|
Approve |
50.5 |
50.8 |
51.1 |
53.1 |
54.5 |
|
|
|
Strongly approve |
10.2 |
10.4 |
10.5 |
10.5 |
10.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 32. How important is the NHS
to you? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 - Not important |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
5 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
6 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
7 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
8 |
12.9 |
13.2 |
13.6 |
13.5 |
13.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
14.5 |
15.0 |
15.0 |
13.9 |
13.3 |
|
|
|
10 - Extremely important |
63.3 |
63.2 |
62.5 |
63.0 |
63.7 |
|
|
|
Mean |
9.2 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 33. How important is Taxation
to you? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 Not important |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
2 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
3 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
4 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
5 |
11.3 |
11.2 |
10.6 |
12.0 |
11.8 |
|
|
|
6 |
8.2 |
8.3 |
8.4 |
7.5 |
8.0 |
|
|
|
7 |
14.8 |
14.4 |
14.3 |
14.4 |
15.3 |
|
|
|
8 |
23.2 |
23.0 |
23.4 |
24.6 |
23.9 |
|
|
|
9 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
10.0 |
9.2 |
8.6 |
|
|
|
10 Extremely important |
27.0 |
27.7 |
27.6 |
26.8 |
26.0 |
|
|
|
Mean |
7.7 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 34. How important is Education to you? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 - Not important |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
|
|
1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
4 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
5 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
|
|
|
6 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
7 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
|
|
|
8 |
15.2 |
15.3 |
15.0 |
15.4 |
15.3 |
|
|
|
9 |
13.9 |
14.2 |
14.2 |
14.3 |
14.6 |
|
|
|
10 - Extremely important |
56.2 |
55.0 |
55.2 |
55.2 |
54.9 |
|
|
|
Mean |
8.9 |
8.9 |
8.9 |
8.9 |
8.8 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 35. How important is the level of Crime to you? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 Not important |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
|
|
|
5 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
|
|
6 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
|
|
|
7 |
9.2 |
9.8 |
8.7 |
8.9 |
9.1 |
|
|
|
8 |
18.0 |
17.3 |
17.0 |
17.4 |
17.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
15.2 |
14.8 |
15.1 |
14.3 |
13.8 |
|
|
|
10 Extremely important |
49.1 |
49.8 |
50.9 |
50.3 |
50.3 |
|
|
|
Mean |
8.8 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
8.8 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Government Performance |
|
|
| 36. How many marks would you give the Government for its performance
on the NHS? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 marks |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
|
|
|
1 marks |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
2 marks |
5.9 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
|
|
|
3 marks |
7.3 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.7 |
|
|
|
4 marks |
10.9 |
10.9 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
11.3 |
|
|
|
5 marks |
20.1 |
20.0 |
20.5 |
19.1 |
19.0 |
|
|
|
6 marks |
15.3 |
15.9 |
15.5 |
15.8 |
15.9 |
|
|
|
7 marks |
15.7 |
15.4 |
15.0 |
15.2 |
15.6 |
|
|
|
8 marks |
10.3 |
10.7 |
10.9 |
11.5 |
11.6 |
|
|
|
9 marks |
3.5 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
|
|
|
10 marks |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
|
|
|
Mean |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 37. How many marks would you give the Government for its performance
on Taxation? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 marks |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
|
|
|
1 marks |
1.9 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
|
|
|
2 marks |
5.4 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
|
|
|
3 marks |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
5.9 |
|
|
|
4 marks |
8.0 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
8.3 |
|
|
|
5 marks |
23.1 |
24.1 |
23.4 |
22.5 |
21.5 |
|
|
|
6 marks |
14.5 |
14.0 |
14.2 |
15.4 |
16.8 |
|
|
|
7 marks |
17.6 |
17.4 |
17.2 |
16.6 |
16.2 |
|
|
|
8 marks |
13.0 |
13.1 |
12.9 |
13.0 |
13.3 |
|
|
|
9 marks |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
|
|
|
10 marks |
3.1 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
|
|
|
Mean |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 38. How many marks would you give the Government for its performance
on Education? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 marks |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
|
|
|
1 marks |
1.1 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
|
|
|
2 marks |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
|
|
|
3 marks |
4.7 |
4.8 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
|
|
|
4 marks |
8.7 |
8.6 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
9.5 |
|
|
|
5 marks |
20.0 |
19.3 |
18.5 |
17.1 |
16.4 |
|
|
|
6 marks |
17.4 |
18.7 |
17.8 |
18.1 |
18.8 |
|
|
|
7 marks |
20.4 |
20.3 |
19.9 |
20.4 |
19.5 |
|
|
|
8 marks |
14.1 |
13.7 |
14.5 |
13.9 |
14.5 |
|
|
|
9 marks |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
|
|
|
10 marks |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
|
|
|
Mean |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 39. How many marks would you give the Government for its performance
on the level of Crime? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 marks |
4.9 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
|
|
|
1 marks |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
|
|
|
2 marks |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
|
|
|
3 marks |
7.3 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
|
|
|
4 marks |
10.5 |
10.5 |
10.3 |
10.8 |
11.2 |
|
|
|
5 marks |
24.3 |
24.0 |
24.1 |
23.7 |
23.2 |
|
|
|
6 marks |
15.5 |
17.2 |
16.2 |
16.9 |
17.4 |
|
|
|
7 marks |
15.2 |
14.3 |
14.0 |
14.5 |
14.5 |
|
|
|
8 marks |
9.5 |
9.1 |
10.0 |
9.2 |
9.3 |
|
|
|
9 marks |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
10 marks |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
|
|
|
Mean |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
|
|
|
std deviation |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 40. Labour Government has introduced a lot of hidden taxes? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agree |
65.4 |
64.3 |
64.0 |
63.0 |
63.1 |
|
|
|
Disagree |
32.9 |
34.0 |
34.4 |
35.6 |
35.5 |
|
|
|
Neither agree nor disagree |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 41. Labour Government is arrogant and doesn't listen to ordinary
people |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agree |
48.0 |
46.5 |
45.5 |
45.9 |
44.6 |
|
|
|
Disagree |
49.9 |
51.8 |
52.3 |
52.1 |
53.7 |
|
|
|
Neither agree nor disagree |
2.1 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 42. Labour Government is allowing Britain to become a foreign land. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agree |
44.9 |
45.6 |
45.4 |
44.4 |
43.2 |
|
|
|
Disagree |
53.6 |
53.1 |
53.1 |
54.2 |
55.5 |
|
|
|
Neither agree nor disagree |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 43 How do you think a Conservative Government would handle the NHS? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not at all well |
13.7 |
14.2 |
14.1 |
15.5 |
15.4 |
|
|
|
Not very well |
35.1 |
35.4 |
35.6 |
35.7 |
36.5 |
|
|
|
Fairly well |
43.6 |
43.3 |
42.9 |
42.2 |
42.0 |
|
|
|
Very well |
7.6 |
7.1 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 44 How do you think a
Conservative Government would handle Taxation? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not at all well |
13.2 |
13.2 |
12.7 |
11.7 |
11.1 |
|
|
|
Not very well |
29.8 |
30.3 |
31.1 |
32.5 |
33.4 |
|
|
|
Fairly well |
47.3 |
47.8 |
48.2 |
48.0 |
48.2 |
|
|
|
Very well |
9.7 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
7.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 45 How do you think a
Conservative Government would handle
Education? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not at all well |
9.5 |
10.3 |
9.7 |
9.8 |
9.0 |
|
|
|
Not very well |
26.5 |
25.2 |
25.9 |
26.8 |
28.2 |
|
|
|
Fairly well |
52.8 |
53.7 |
54.1 |
53.5 |
53.5 |
|
|
|
Very well |
11.2 |
10.8 |
10.3 |
9.9 |
9.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 46 How do you think a Cons
Gov would handle the level of Crime? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Not at all well |
9.3 |
9.8 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
9.5 |
|
|
|
Not very well |
25.0 |
23.1 |
24.1 |
25.9 |
26.6 |
|
|
|
Fairly well |
54.9 |
56.5 |
55.6 |
54.7 |
53.7 |
|
|
|
Very well |
10.7 |
10.5 |
10.8 |
9.8 |
10.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 47. Do you regularly read one or more daily morning newspapers? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yes |
66.6 |
67.0 |
66.8 |
66.7 |
66.0 |
|
|
|
No |
33.4 |
33.0 |
33.2 |
33.3 |
34.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 48. Which daily morning newspaper do you read most often? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Scottish/welsh/regional or local daily
morning paper |
5.3 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
4.7 |
|
|
|
More than one paper read with equal frequency |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
|
|
|
Other national newspaper |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
The Daily Mail |
13.2 |
13.3 |
12.9 |
12.1 |
12.2 |
|
|
|
The Daily Record |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
|
|
|
The Daily Star |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
The Daily Star (of Scotland) |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
The Daily Telegraph |
5.9 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
|
|
|
The Express |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.6 |
|
|
|
The Financial Times |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
The Guardian |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
|
|
|
The (Glasgow) Herald |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
The Independent |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
|
|
The Mirror |
9.3 |
9.6 |
10.0 |
10.3 |
10.3 |
|
|
|
The Scotsman |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
The Scottish Mirror |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
The Sun |
12.2 |
11.7 |
11.7 |
11.4 |
11.7 |
|
|
|
The Times |
5.6 |
6.0 |
5.7 |
5.6 |
5.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 49. Conservative Party. |
Likelihood of voting for
each of the parties |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 - Very unlikely |
28.7 |
29.3 |
29.6 |
31.0 |
29.9 |
|
|
|
1 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
2 |
5.7 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
3 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
|
|
|
4 |
6.5 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
|
|
|
5 |
11.4 |
11.2 |
11.1 |
10.2 |
11.4 |
|
|
|
6 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
|
|
|
7 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
|
|
|
8 |
8.5 |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.5 |
8.4 |
|
|
|
9 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
|
|
|
10 - Very likely |
13.5 |
13.7 |
13.6 |
13.3 |
13.0 |
|
|
|
Mean |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
|
|
|
std. deviation |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 50. Labour Party |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 - Very unlikely |
16.5 |
16.6 |
17.9 |
17.5 |
17.9 |
|
|
|
1 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
|
|
|
2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
|
|
|
3 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
|
|
|
4 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
5 |
10.4 |
10.7 |
10.4 |
10.4 |
10.6 |
|
|
|
6 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
|
|
|
7 |
6.9 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
|
|
|
8 |
13.2 |
13.3 |
13.4 |
13.2 |
13.1 |
|
|
|
9 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
7.9 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
|
|
|
10 - Very likely |
26.0 |
25.6 |
25.6 |
25.0 |
24.9 |
|
|
|
Mean |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
6.1 |
|
|
|
std. deviation |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 51. Liberal Democrats |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 - Very unlikely |
24.6 |
24.1 |
23.8 |
23.0 |
21.9 |
|
|
|
1 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
|
|
|
2 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
6.3 |
6.0 |
|
|
|
3 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
|
|
|
4 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
|
|
|
5 |
17.1 |
18.2 |
18.4 |
16.6 |
16.1 |
|
|
|
6 |
8.6 |
8.4 |
8.0 |
8.4 |
8.2 |
|
|
|
7 |
9.2 |
9.2 |
8.9 |
9.9 |
11.0 |
|
|
|
8 |
10.2 |
9.8 |
10.2 |
10.5 |
10.7 |
|
|
|
9 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
|
|
|
10 - Very likely |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
6.0 |
6.5 |
|
|
|
Mean |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
|
|
|
std. deviation |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
May / June |
30th |
31st |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
|
|
| 52. Scottish National Party |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 Very unlikely |
24.2 |
23.6 |
20.0 |
20.7 |
25.0 |
|
|
|
1 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
|
|
|
2 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
12.9 |
12.3 |
9.8 |
|
|
|
3 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
|
|
|
4 |
8.6 |
7.7 |
5.8 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
|
|
|
5 |
13.0 |
14.4 |
13.8 |
14.9 |
16.2 |
|
|
|
6 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
|
|
|
7 |
10.5 |
8.8 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
1.5 |
|
|
|
8 |
10.2 |
12.9 |
14.8 |
13.1 |
12.0 |
|
|
|
9 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
3.7 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
|
|
|
10 Very likely |
11.8 |
10.0 |
9.7 |
10.3 |
10.6 |
|
|
|
Mean |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
|
|
|
std. deviation |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 53. Plaid Cymru |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 Very unlikely |
36.5 |
36.0 |
33.1 |
28.0 |
28.5 |
|
|
|
1 |
4.9 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
|
|
|
2 |
5.3 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
|
|
|
3 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
|
|
|
4 |
1.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
|
|
|
5 |
15.3 |
18.1 |
16.9 |
17.1 |
18.8 |
|
|
|
6 |
5.3 |
2.9 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
|
|
|
7 |
7.0 |
5.1 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
|
|
|
8 |
8.7 |
6.3 |
6.7 |
6.8 |
5.4 |
|
|
|
9 |
5.1 |
9.0 |
7.5 |
8.6 |
8.3 |
|
|
|
10 Very likely |
7.4 |
5.6 |
11.4 |
12.3 |
10.2 |
|
|
|
Mean |
3.8 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
|
|
|
std. deviation |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|