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| Data from the British Election Study (BES) rolling campaign survey. | ||||||||||||
| May - June 2001 | ||||||||||||
| The British Election Study is based at the University of Essex. Its principal investigators are David Sanders, Paul Whiteley, Harold Clarke. | ||||||||||||
| and Marianne Stewart. | ||||||||||||
| Approximately 150 respondents are interviewed by telephone each day of the election campaign by The Gallup Organization. | ||||||||||||
| Responsibility for the design and interpretation of the survey lies with the principal investigators. | ||||||||||||
| The daily responses are being cumulated over seven days, to give more than 1000 cases. The cumulative file achieved enough cases for | ||||||||||||
| analysis to be done on May 14th (see previous response page). On each subsequent day an extra 150 cases are added, and the | ||||||||||||
| earliest cases from the first day of that week are dropped. This produces a rolling cross - section sample and all the analyses on this | ||||||||||||
| website are based on these samples. | ||||||||||||
| The data presented here represent the marginals from a selected number of questions from the survey. | ||||||||||||
| All figures given in percentages | ||||||||||||
| Current vote intention | ||||||||||||
| June 4th | 5th | 6th | ||||||||||
| Conservative | 25.1 | 24.7 | 24.6 | |||||||||
| Labour | 54.4 | 54.6 | 54.8 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 14.7 | 14.9 | 14.5 | |||||||||
| Scottish National Party (SNP) | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | |||||||||
| Other Party | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.4 | |||||||||
| This measure combines the responses to q's 5-7 | ||||||||||||
| 1. How interested are you in the General Election? | ||||||||||||
| Not at all interested | 8.8 | 8.7 | 9.0 | |||||||||
| Not very interested | 24.3 | 23.6 | 22.4 | |||||||||
| Somewhat interested | 40.9 | 40.7 | 40.8 | |||||||||
| Very interested | 25.3 | 26.4 | 27.2 | |||||||||
| 2. What is the single most important issue in this Election? | ||||||||||||
| Other | 16.5 | 15.7 | 14.4 | |||||||||
| No important issues | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | |||||||||
| Europe | 12.5 | 12.4 | 11.5 | |||||||||
| Economy | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.0 | |||||||||
| Education | 12.7 | 13.2 | 13.4 | |||||||||
| Foot and mouth | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | |||||||||
| Inflation, prices generally | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |||||||||
| Law and Order/Crime | 3.0 | 3.4 | 3.0 | |||||||||
| National Health Service | 25.3 | 26.3 | 27.9 | |||||||||
| Pensions | 6.2 | 6.0 | 5.3 | |||||||||
| Taxation | 6.5 | 6.0 | 6.8 | |||||||||
| Transportation - public transport | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | |||||||||
| Unemployment | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | |||||||||
| 3. Which party is best able to handle this issue? | ||||||||||||
| Other | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | |||||||||
| Don't know | 10.3 | 10.7 | 9.8 | |||||||||
| None/No party closest | 13.0 | 13.2 | 12.0 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 20.9 | 19.7 | 20.0 | |||||||||
| Labour | 43.7 | 44.4 | 46.6 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 9.3 | 9.2 | 9.1 | |||||||||
| SNP | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| 4. How likely is it that you will vote in the Election? | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Very unlikely | 8.1 | 8.0 | 8.8 | |||||||||
| 1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |||||||||
| 2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | |||||||||
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.4 | |||||||||
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | |||||||||
| 5 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 4.7 | |||||||||
| 6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.8 | |||||||||
| 7 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 4.0 | |||||||||
| 8 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.3 | |||||||||
| 9 | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.8 | |||||||||
| 10 - Very likely | 60.5 | 61.3 | 61.4 | |||||||||
| Mean | 8.1 | 8.1 | 8.1 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | |||||||||
| 5. If you do vote in the General Election, have you decided? | ||||||||||||
| Yes - decided | 65.0 | 66.1 | 68.6 | |||||||||
| No - not decided yet | 32.5 | 31.2 | 27.7 | |||||||||
| Will not vote | 2.2 | 2.3 | 3.3 | |||||||||
| 6. Which party will you vote for? | ||||||||||||
| Other | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 25.6 | 25.1 | 25.3 | |||||||||
| Labour | 56.9 | 57.1 | 56.5 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 12.3 | 12.4 | 13.2 | |||||||||
| SNP | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.5 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | |||||||||
| 7. Which party do you think you are most likely to vote for? (Applies to respondents Q5= No) | ||||||||||||
| Other party | 1.9 | 2.2 | 3.0 | |||||||||
| Don't know | 26.0 | 28.0 | 26.3 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 17.2 | 16.8 | 16.5 | |||||||||
| Labour | 34.8 | 33.7 | 36.2 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 15.6 | 15.9 | 13.8 | |||||||||
| SNP | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.1 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.8 | |||||||||
| 8. Which best describes your reasons for deciding to vote? (Applies to respondents Q5 = Yes and preference given in Q6) | ||||||||||||
| Other reason | 17.3 | 17.1 | 17.0 | |||||||||
| Party has the best policies | 56.4 | 56.2 | 56.4 | |||||||||
| Party has the best leader | 18.8 | 18.7 | 18.1 | |||||||||
| Prefer another party but it stands no chance of winning in my | 6.8 | 7.0 | 7.5 | |||||||||
| constituency | ||||||||||||
| 9.Which party do you really prefer? (from Q8) | ||||||||||||
| Other party | 3.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | |||||||||
| None | 5.2 | 5.4 | 4.9 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 12.7 | 10.4 | 9.0 | |||||||||
| Labour | 32.4 | 34.6 | 30.9 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 39.6 | 36.2 | 42.7 | |||||||||
| Scottish National Party (SNP) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.0 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | |||||||||
| 10.Which best describes your reasons for deciding to vote? (Applies to respondents Q5 = No and preference given in Q7) | ||||||||||||
| Other reason | 20.0 | 18.1 | 19.2 | |||||||||
| Don't know | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.9 | |||||||||
| Best policies | 39.3 | 42.1 | 40.2 | |||||||||
| Best leader | 15.9 | 15.8 | 15.5 | |||||||||
| Prefer another party but it stands no chance of winning in my | 22.1 | 20.9 | 21.2 | |||||||||
| constituency | ||||||||||||
| 11.Which party do you really prefer? (from Q10) | ||||||||||||
| Other party | 5.9 | 7.3 | 7.3 | |||||||||
| None | 7.4 | 6.4 | 5.2 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 6.2 | 13.2 | 14.0 | |||||||||
| Labour | 25.8 | 23.7 | 23.1 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 34.0 | 27.9 | 29.1 | |||||||||
| Scottish National Party (SNP) | 6.0 | 5.3 | 1.5 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 5.1 | 7.4 | 5.8 | |||||||||
| 12. Government's handling of the foot and mouth crisis? | ||||||||||||
| very bad job | 17.9 | 18.4 | 18.2 | |||||||||
| bad job | 34.1 | 34.3 | 33.8 | |||||||||
| good job | 44.4 | 43.6 | 44.1 | |||||||||
| very good job | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | |||||||||
| Party Leaders like - dislike scales | ||||||||||||
| 13. Tony Blair | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Strongly dislike | 6.8 | 6.7 | 7.0 | |||||||||
| 1 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 | |||||||||
| 2 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.2 | |||||||||
| 3 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.1 | |||||||||
| 4 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 6.9 | |||||||||
| 5 | 17.8 | 17.9 | 17.5 | |||||||||
| 6 | 10.1 | 8.9 | 8.5 | |||||||||
| 7 | 13.1 | 13.4 | 14.0 | |||||||||
| 8 | 18.8 | 18.2 | 17.5 | |||||||||
| 9 | 7.0 | 7.2 | 7.7 | |||||||||
| 10 - Strongly like | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.8 | |||||||||
| Mean | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 | |||||||||
| 14. William Hague | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Strongly dislike | 17.0 | 17.0 | 17.6 | |||||||||
| 1 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 4.2 | |||||||||
| 2 | 12.0 | 12.1 | 11.8 | |||||||||
| 3 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 9.5 | |||||||||
| 4 | 13.5 | 12.8 | 13.0 | |||||||||
| 5 | 18.0 | 18.5 | 17.4 | |||||||||
| 6 | 8.4 | 7.9 | 7.6 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6.7 | 7.6 | 7.7 | |||||||||
| 8 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.7 | |||||||||
| 9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | |||||||||
| 10 - Strongly like | 2.8 | 2.9 | 3.1 | |||||||||
| Mean | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | |||||||||
| 15. Charles Kennedy | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Strongly dislike | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.3 | |||||||||
| 1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.2 | |||||||||
| 2 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 3.9 | |||||||||
| 3 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.3 | |||||||||
| 4 | 9.9 | 9.5 | 9.1 | |||||||||
| 5 | 25.6 | 26.1 | 26.6 | |||||||||
| 6 | 13.5 | 12.9 | 13.1 | |||||||||
| 7 | 15.2 | 16.2 | 16.2 | |||||||||
| 8 | 10.7 | 11.6 | 12.0 | |||||||||
| 9 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.7 | |||||||||
| 10 - Strongly like | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | |||||||||
| Mean | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.4 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | |||||||||
| 14 John Swinney | ||||||||||||
| 0 Strongly dislike | 11.6 | 12.2 | 12.4 | |||||||||
| 1 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 5.4 | |||||||||
| 2 | 11.4 | 9.7 | 7.4 | |||||||||
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 3.4 | |||||||||
| 4 | 8.8 | 12.0 | 12.6 | |||||||||
| 5 | 32.5 | 30.8 | 31.3 | |||||||||
| 6 | 15.2 | 12.5 | 14.1 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.4 | |||||||||
| 8 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 | |||||||||
| 9 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | |||||||||
| 10 Strongly like | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.8 | |||||||||
| Mean | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.3 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 | |||||||||
| 15. Ieuan Wyn Jones | ||||||||||||
| 0 Strongly dislike | 3.8 | 6.6 | 6.2 | |||||||||
| 1 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 3.1 | |||||||||
| 2 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 6.7 | |||||||||
| 3 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 4.4 | |||||||||
| 4 | 10.9 | 14.5 | 16.2 | |||||||||
| 5 | 43.3 | 41.8 | 40.3 | |||||||||
| 6 | 16.6 | 9.1 | 11.4 | |||||||||
| 7 | 7.3 | 6.6 | 6.6 | |||||||||
| 8 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 5.2 | |||||||||
| 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| 10 Strongly like | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Mean | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.5 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | |||||||||
| 16. Who would make the best Prime Minister? | ||||||||||||
| Tony Blair | 59.9 | 59.4 | 60.1 | |||||||||
| William Hague | 17.9 | 18.3 | 17.4 | |||||||||
| Charles Kennedy | 15.1 | 15.8 | 16.0 | |||||||||
| None | 6.9 | 6.4 | 6.4 | |||||||||
| Someone else | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |||||||||
| 17. Which party is most likely to win in your constituency? | ||||||||||||
| Other | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |||||||||
| Don't know/Not sure | 5.2 | 5.3 | 4.8 | |||||||||
| Election is too close to call | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.2 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 23.1 | 22.2 | 22.2 | |||||||||
| Labour | 60.7 | 62.1 | 62.9 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 8.1 | 7.6 | 6.9 | |||||||||
| Scottish National Party (SNP) | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | |||||||||
| 18. Which party is most likely to win in the country? | ||||||||||||
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Don't know/Not sure | 4.0 | 3.7 | 4.0 | |||||||||
| Election is too close to call | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.2 | |||||||||
| Labour | 89.6 | 90.2 | 90.5 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrats | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| Scottish National Party (SNP) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| 19. Who did you vote for in 1997? | ||||||||||||
| Other party | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | |||||||||
| Don't know/Not sure | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.9 | |||||||||
| Did not vote/Too young to vote in 1997 | 20.7 | 20.7 | 20.3 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 20.6 | 21.0 | 21.5 | |||||||||
| Labour | 44.1 | 43.9 | 45.0 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 8.6 | 8.2 | 7.1 | |||||||||
| Scottish National Party (SNP) | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | |||||||||
| UK Independence Party | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | |||||||||
| Referendum Party | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |||||||||
| 20. How much attention do you pay to politics & public affairs? | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Pay no attention to politics | 5.5 | 5.2 | 6.0 | |||||||||
| 1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | |||||||||
| 2 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 | |||||||||
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.2 | |||||||||
| 4 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.3 | |||||||||
| 5 | 23.3 | 23.6 | 23.2 | |||||||||
| 6 | 12.9 | 12.6 | 13.0 | |||||||||
| 7 | 16.3 | 16.2 | 16.3 | |||||||||
| 8 | 16.6 | 16.7 | 14.7 | |||||||||
| 9 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 5.4 | |||||||||
| 10 - Pay a great deal of attention to politics | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.2 | |||||||||
| Mean | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | |||||||||
| 21. How much influence do you have on politics and public affairs? | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Have no influence on politics at all | 35.9 | 36.0 | 36.6 | |||||||||
| 1 | 7.4 | 7.9 | 7.6 | |||||||||
| 2 | 14.1 | 13.6 | 11.9 | |||||||||
| 3 | 9.9 | 11.0 | 12.0 | |||||||||
| 4 | 8.2 | 7.9 | 8.1 | |||||||||
| 5 | 14.0 | 13.1 | 12.9 | |||||||||
| 6 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 4.6 | |||||||||
| 7 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | |||||||||
| 8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | |||||||||
| 9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |||||||||
| 10 - Have a great deal of influence on politics | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | |||||||||
| Mean | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | |||||||||
| Party identification sequence. | ||||||||||||
| 22. Do you think of yourself as Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat? | ||||||||||||
| Other party | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | |||||||||
| Don't know | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.3 | |||||||||
| None | 11.2 | 10.8 | 10.9 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 25.5 | 25.5 | 25.8 | |||||||||
| Labour | 46.8 | 46.9 | 46.6 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 9.1 | 9.2 | 9.8 | |||||||||
| Scottish National Party (SNP) | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | |||||||||
| 23. Do you generally think of yourself as a little closer to one of the parties than the others? (Applies if no party given in Q22) | ||||||||||||
| Other | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Don't know | 5.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | |||||||||
| None | 52.1 | 53.3 | 55.6 | |||||||||
| Conservative | 12.6 | 12.5 | 8.6 | |||||||||
| Labour | 22.9 | 23.1 | 25.0 | |||||||||
| Liberal Democrat | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.2 | |||||||||
| Scottish National Party(SNP) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Plaid Cymru | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Green Party | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | |||||||||
| 24. What is the strength of your party identification? (Applies if party given in Q22 or Q23) | ||||||||||||
| Not very strong | 27.2 | 25.3 | 24.2 | |||||||||
| Fairly strong | 49.4 | 50.9 | 52.0 | |||||||||
| Very strong | 23.1 | 23.5 | 23.4 | |||||||||
| Economic indicators. | ||||||||||||
| 25 Financial situation of H.H. compare with 12 months ago? | ||||||||||||
| Got a lot worse | 7.9 | 7.7 | 7.3 | |||||||||
| Got a little worse | 15.4 | 15.5 | 14.9 | |||||||||
| Stayed the same | 39.2 | 39.6 | 39.4 | |||||||||
| Got a little better | 26.2 | 26.3 | 26.6 | |||||||||
| Got a lot better | 11.4 | 11.0 | 11.8 | |||||||||
| 26. How will financial situation of H.H. change in next 12months? | ||||||||||||
| Get a lot worse | 5.8 | 5.6 | 5.4 | |||||||||
| Get a little worse | 12.8 | 13.0 | 13.2 | |||||||||
| Stay the same | 45.4 | 45.6 | 45.2 | |||||||||
| Get a little better | 29.3 | 28.8 | 28.7 | |||||||||
| Get a lot better | 6.7 | 7.1 | 7.5 | |||||||||
| 27. Change in general economic situation in last 12 months | ||||||||||||
| Got a lot worse | 7.1 | 7.5 | 7.4 | |||||||||
| Got a little worse | 17.1 | 17.6 | 16.1 | |||||||||
| Stayed the same | 27.2 | 27.1 | 27.5 | |||||||||
| Got a little better | 37.7 | 36.9 | 38.9 | |||||||||
| Got a lot better | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.2 | |||||||||
| 28. How will the general economic situation change next 12months? | ||||||||||||
| Got a lot worse | 6.2 | 6.4 | 5.9 | |||||||||
| Got a little worse | 15.9 | 16.3 | 17.0 | |||||||||
| Stayed the same | 32.1 | 32.2 | 31.4 | |||||||||
| Got a little better | 36.5 | 36.2 | 36.6 | |||||||||
| Got a lot better | 9.3 | 8.9 | 9.1 | |||||||||
| 29. If Britain were in economic difficulties, which party could handle situation best? | ||||||||||||
| Labour | 62.3 | 63.2 | 64.1 | |||||||||
| The Conservatives | 31.9 | 32.0 | 31.4 | |||||||||
| Neither | 5.2 | 4.3 | 4.0 | |||||||||
| 30. Thinking of the Single European Currency, which is your view? | ||||||||||||
| Definitely join | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.7 | |||||||||
| Wait and see how it develops | 47.1 | 47.2 | 47.6 | |||||||||
| Definitely stay out | 38.5 | 38.4 | 37.7 | |||||||||
| 31. What is your attitude toward Britain's membership of the European Union? | ||||||||||||
| Strongly disapprove | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.2 | |||||||||
| Disapprove | 26.9 | 27.0 | 26.0 | |||||||||
| Approve | 54.4 | 54.1 | 55.4 | |||||||||
| Strongly approve | 10.7 | 10.9 | 10.4 | |||||||||
| 32. How important is the NHS to you? | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Not important | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| 2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |||||||||
| 3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |||||||||
| 5 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | |||||||||
| 6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | |||||||||
| 7 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 4.8 | |||||||||
| 8 | 13.9 | 13.8 | 14.1 | |||||||||
| 9 | 12.8 | 13.8 | 14.2 | |||||||||
| 10 - Extremely important | 63.8 | 63.2 | 62.2 | |||||||||
| Mean | 9.2 | 9.2 | 9.2 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |||||||||
| 33. How important is Taxation to you? | ||||||||||||
| 0 Not important | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | |||||||||
| 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| 2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | |||||||||
| 3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | |||||||||
| 4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.0 | |||||||||
| 5 | 11.6 | 10.5 | 10.2 | |||||||||
| 6 | 8.9 | 9.6 | 9.3 | |||||||||
| 7 | 15.4 | 15.6 | 15.4 | |||||||||
| 8 | 23.3 | 23.5 | 24.3 | |||||||||
| 9 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 8.4 | |||||||||
| 10 Extremely important | 26.8 | 27.3 | 26.4 | |||||||||
| Mean | 7.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | |||||||||
| 34. How important is Education to you? | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Not important | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | |||||||||
| 1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |||||||||
| 2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | |||||||||
| 3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |||||||||
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | |||||||||
| 5 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.7 | |||||||||
| 6 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.7 | |||||||||
| 7 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 | |||||||||
| 8 | 16.1 | 15.3 | 16.5 | |||||||||
| 9 | 15.0 | 15.2 | 14.8 | |||||||||
| 10 - Extremely important | 54.9 | 55.2 | 54.4 | |||||||||
| Mean | 8.9 | 8.9 | 8.9 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | |||||||||
| 35. How important is the level of Crime to you? | ||||||||||||
| 0 Not important | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | |||||||||
| 1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| 2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | |||||||||
| 3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | |||||||||
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | |||||||||
| 5 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.5 | |||||||||
| 6 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 4.0 | |||||||||
| 7 | 8.7 | 8.3 | 8.7 | |||||||||
| 8 | 18.3 | 19.3 | 19.3 | |||||||||
| 9 | 14.5 | 14.4 | 14.4 | |||||||||
| 10 Extremely important | 49.4 | 48.8 | 47.8 | |||||||||
| Mean | 8.8 | 8.8 | 8.7 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | |||||||||
| Government Performance | ||||||||||||
| 36. How many marks would you give the Government for its performance on the NHS? | ||||||||||||
| 0 marks | 4.8 | 3.9 | 4.1 | |||||||||
| 1 marks | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.4 | |||||||||
| 2 marks | 5.7 | 5.4 | 4.7 | |||||||||
| 3 marks | 5.9 | 6.3 | 6.4 | |||||||||
| 4 marks | 11.7 | 12.6 | 11.9 | |||||||||
| 5 marks | 19.9 | 21.9 | 22.1 | |||||||||
| 6 marks | 16.1 | 16.1 | 16.3 | |||||||||
| 7 marks | 15.6 | 14.6 | 14.5 | |||||||||
| 8 marks | 11.2 | 9.9 | 10.2 | |||||||||
| 9 marks | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.7 | |||||||||
| 10 marks | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.7 | |||||||||
| Mean | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | |||||||||
| 37. How many marks would you give the Government for its performance on Taxation? | ||||||||||||
| 0 marks | 4.4 | 3.8 | 4.3 | |||||||||
| 1 marks | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | |||||||||
| 2 marks | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.2 | |||||||||
| 3 marks | 6.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 | |||||||||
| 4 marks | 7.9 | 8.7 | 8.8 | |||||||||
| 5 marks | 21.5 | 22.6 | 22.6 | |||||||||
| 6 marks | 18.0 | 17.8 | 18.2 | |||||||||
| 7 marks | 15.7 | 15.1 | 15.4 | |||||||||
| 8 marks | 13.2 | 12.9 | 12.8 | |||||||||
| 9 marks | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.2 | |||||||||
| 10 marks | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.2 | |||||||||
| Mean | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | |||||||||
| 38. How many marks would you give the Government for its performance on Education? | ||||||||||||
| 0 marks | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | |||||||||
| 1 marks | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | |||||||||
| 2 marks | 4.1 | 3.8 | 3.9 | |||||||||
| 3 marks | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.3 | |||||||||
| 4 marks | 10.7 | 11.4 | 11.5 | |||||||||
| 5 marks | 16.4 | 17.4 | 17.1 | |||||||||
| 6 marks | 19.2 | 19.2 | 19.2 | |||||||||
| 7 marks | 18.2 | 18.1 | 17.4 | |||||||||
| 8 marks | 14.5 | 13.5 | 14.3 | |||||||||
| 9 marks | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 | |||||||||
| 10 marks | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.8 | |||||||||
| Mean | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | |||||||||
| 39. How many marks would you give the Government for its performance on the level of Crime? | ||||||||||||
| 0 marks | 5.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | |||||||||
| 1 marks | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.4 | |||||||||
| 2 marks | 5.5 | 5.6 | 5.8 | |||||||||
| 3 marks | 6.6 | 7.3 | 7.0 | |||||||||
| 4 marks | 11.6 | 11.9 | 12.5 | |||||||||
| 5 marks | 22.4 | 22.0 | 21.7 | |||||||||
| 6 marks | 18.3 | 18.4 | 18.6 | |||||||||
| 7 marks | 13.9 | 14.1 | 14.2 | |||||||||
| 8 marks | 9.1 | 8.6 | 8.4 | |||||||||
| 9 marks | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |||||||||
| 10 marks | 3.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 | |||||||||
| Mean | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.2 | |||||||||
| std deviation | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.2 | |||||||||
| 40. Labour Government has introduced a lot of hidden taxes? | ||||||||||||
| Agree | 62.6 | 63.6 | 62.4 | |||||||||
| Disagree | 36.4 | 35.3 | 36.5 | |||||||||
| Neither agree nor disagree | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | |||||||||
| 41. Labour Government is arrogant and doesn't listen to ordinary people | ||||||||||||
| Agree | 43.4 | 43.4 | 42.5 | |||||||||
| Disagree | 55.1 | 55.5 | 56.3 | |||||||||
| Neither agree nor disagree | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | |||||||||
| 42. Labour Government is allowing Britain to become a foreign land. | ||||||||||||
| Agree | 42.0 | 42.7 | 42.0 | |||||||||
| Disagree | 56.8 | 56.4 | 56.9 | |||||||||
| Neither agree nor disagree | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | |||||||||
| 43 How do you think a Conservative Government would handle the NHS? | ||||||||||||
| Not at all well | 16.0 | 16.1 | 16.5 | |||||||||
| Not very well | 36.7 | 36.2 | 35.8 | |||||||||
| Fairly well | 41.2 | 41.8 | 41.5 | |||||||||
| Very well | 6.1 | 5.9 | 6.3 | |||||||||
| 44 How do you think a Conservative Government would handle Taxation? | ||||||||||||
| Not at all well | 12.2 | 12.1 | 12.1 | |||||||||
| Not very well | 33.6 | 33.8 | 34.3 | |||||||||
| Fairly well | 46.8 | 45.7 | 43.8 | |||||||||
| Very well | 7.3 | 8.4 | 9.7 | |||||||||
| 45 How do you think a Conservative Government would handle Education? | ||||||||||||
| Not at all well | 9.5 | 10.1 | 10.1 | |||||||||
| Not very well | 29.5 | 28.2 | 28.5 | |||||||||
| Fairly well | 52.6 | 52.8 | 52.3 | |||||||||
| Very well | 8.5 | 8.8 | 9.1 | |||||||||
| 46 How do you think a Cons Gov would handle the level of Crime? | ||||||||||||
| Not at all well | 9.6 | 9.7 | 9.2 | |||||||||
| Not very well | 27.4 | 27.4 | 27.7 | |||||||||
| Fairly well | 52.9 | 53.0 | 52.6 | |||||||||
| Very well | 10.1 | 9.9 | 10.5 | |||||||||
| 47. Do you regularly read one or more daily morning newspapers? | ||||||||||||
| Yes | 64.8 | 63.8 | 65.1 | |||||||||
| No | 35.2 | 36.2 | 34.9 | |||||||||
| 48. Which daily morning newspaper do you read most often? | ||||||||||||
| Other Scottish/welsh/regional or local daily morning paper | 4.6 | 4.0 | 4.0 | |||||||||
| More than one paper read with equal frequency | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.2 | |||||||||
| Other national newspaper | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | |||||||||
| The Daily Mail | 12.2 | 12.2 | 13.3 | |||||||||
| The Daily Record | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | |||||||||
| The Daily Star | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | |||||||||
| The Daily Star (of Scotland) | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | |||||||||
| The Daily Telegraph | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.3 | |||||||||
| The Express | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.4 | |||||||||
| The Financial Times | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | |||||||||
| The Guardian | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.9 | |||||||||
| The (Glasgow) Herald | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | |||||||||
| The Independent | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 | |||||||||
| The Mirror | 10.4 | 10.5 | 10.4 | |||||||||
| The Scotsman | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |||||||||
| The Scottish Mirror | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | |||||||||
| The Sun | 10.9 | 11.0 | 10.9 | |||||||||
| The Times | 4.7 | 4.2 | 3.8 | |||||||||
| Likelihood of voting for each of the parties | ||||||||||||
| 49. Conservative Party. | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Very unlikely | 30.1 | 29.9 | 30.9 | |||||||||
| 1 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.7 | |||||||||
| 2 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 6.0 | |||||||||
| 3 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 5.0 | |||||||||
| 4 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 6.0 | |||||||||
| 5 | 10.9 | 11.5 | 10.7 | |||||||||
| 6 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 5.5 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 5.6 | |||||||||
| 8 | 8.6 | 8.2 | 8.1 | |||||||||
| 9 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.1 | |||||||||
| 10 - Very likely | 12.7 | 12.8 | 13.4 | |||||||||
| Mean | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |||||||||
| std. deviation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.7 | |||||||||
| 50. Labour Party | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Very unlikely | 16.6 | 17.2 | 16.4 | |||||||||
| 1 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.6 | |||||||||
| 2 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.7 | |||||||||
| 3 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.3 | |||||||||
| 4 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 3.2 | |||||||||
| 5 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 9.5 | |||||||||
| 6 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | |||||||||
| 7 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 7.6 | |||||||||
| 8 | 14.1 | 13.8 | 13.0 | |||||||||
| 9 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 10.1 | |||||||||
| 10 - Very likely | 24.5 | 24.8 | 25.5 | |||||||||
| Mean | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.2 | |||||||||
| std. deviation | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.6 | |||||||||
| 51. Liberal Democrats | ||||||||||||
| 0 - Very unlikely | 21.9 | 21.4 | 21.4 | |||||||||
| 1 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.4 | |||||||||
| 2 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 5.1 | |||||||||
| 3 | 6.8 | 6.4 | 6.2 | |||||||||
| 4 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 6.4 | |||||||||
| 5 | 14.8 | 15.2 | 15.4 | |||||||||
| 6 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 9.3 | |||||||||
| 7 | 11.6 | 12.6 | 12.9 | |||||||||
| 8 | 10.9 | 10.8 | 10.1 | |||||||||
| 9 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.4 | |||||||||
| 10 - Very likely | 6.8 | 7.1 | 7.4 | |||||||||
| Mean | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | |||||||||
| std. deviation | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | |||||||||
| 52. Scottish National Party | ||||||||||||
| 0 Very unlikely | 26.7 | 24.2 | 24.1 | |||||||||
| 1 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 4.9 | |||||||||
| 2 | 11.0 | 10.5 | 10.8 | |||||||||
| 3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.8 | |||||||||
| 4 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 2.8 | |||||||||
| 5 | 11.4 | 11.4 | 12.8 | |||||||||
| 6 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.5 | |||||||||
| 7 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 3.1 | |||||||||
| 8 | 13.0 | 16.1 | 17.5 | |||||||||
| 9 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 7.3 | |||||||||
| 10 Very likely | 11.8 | 10.4 | 8.3 | |||||||||
| Mean | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | |||||||||
| std. deviation | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | |||||||||
| 53. Plaid Cymru | ||||||||||||
| 0 Very unlikely | 18.3 | 26.9 | 27.1 | |||||||||
| 1 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.7 | |||||||||
| 2 | 14.5 | 13.0 | 12.0 | |||||||||
| 3 | 5.5 | 4.4 | 4.3 | |||||||||
| 4 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 9.4 | |||||||||
| 5 | 19.1 | 14.3 | 14.2 | |||||||||
| 6 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 6.4 | |||||||||
| 7 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 4.6 | |||||||||
| 8 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 5.6 | |||||||||
| 9 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 4.3 | |||||||||
| 10 Very likely | 10.9 | 10.0 | 9.3 | |||||||||
| Mean | 4.5 | 3.9 | 4.0 | |||||||||
| std. deviation | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.4 | |||||||||