Elections, Public Opinion and Parties 
2005 Annual Conference

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Programme

 (The following is a working document. Additional details will be added as they are confirmed.)

 

Friday 9 September

11:00-1:00    Registration (including on-site registration) opens 
   
                   Marquee - University accommodation delegates
                                      -  Non-residential 
   
                                   -  On-site registration
                     Wivenhoe House Hotel Front Lobby - Hotel delegates

1:00    Registration closes in the Marquee (Go to Registration desk in the Lobby)

1:00-1:30    Welcome   (Marquee)

1.30-2.45        Party Strategies  (Marquee)

Philip Gould (Philip Gould Associates), 'Labour Strategy'.  
Gavin Barwell (Operations Director, Member of Board of Management and Registered Treasurer of the Conservative Party), 'Conservative Strategy'.
Chris Rennard (Chief Executive, Liberal Democrats), 'Liberal Democrat strategy'.

Chair: David Sanders (Essex)

 3:00-4.15   Party Campaigns  (Marquee)

Greg Cook (Head of Political Strategy, Labour Party), 'The Labour Campaign'.
David Canzini (Director of Campaigning for The Conservative Party), 'The Conservative Campaign'.
Jackie Rowley (Director of Communications for Charles Kennedy), 'The Liberal Democrat Campaign'.

Chair: David Denver (Lancaster)

4.15-4.30   Refreshments (The Patio and The Albert Room)

4.30-6.00     Informational Sessions

The British Election Study I (Reynolds Room) - Technical Reports and Preliminary Findings

Harold Clarke (University of Texas at Austin)
David Sanders (Essex)
Marianne Stewart (University of Texas at Austin)
Paul Whiteley (Essex)

Chair: Charles Pattie  (Sheffield)

The UK Data Archive (Morant Room)

Jack Kneeshaw (Senior Data and Support Services Officer, UK Data Archive) 'Access to Economic and Social Data via the UK Data Archive'.

6.30 - 7.45   Roundtable on the future of British Politics (Marquee)

Mary Ann Sieghart (Assistant Editor of The Times)
John Bercow, Member of Parliament 

Chair: Ivor Crewe (Essex)  

 7.45   Cash bar open (Marquee)

 8.00   Dinner (Marquee)

Saturday 10 September

7:30-9.00   Breakfast - Harwich Court Delegates (Food On 3) 

8:00-9.00   Breakfast - Wivenhoe House Delegates (The Albert Room)

9:00            Registration and Key Collection Opens (Hotel Lobby)

9:00-10.30 - Session I

1A. The future of the Conservative Party (Morant Room)

Jane Green (Nuffield, Oxford) 'Partisan preferences and party loyalty: A challenge to theories of party position'.
Tom Quinn (Essex) 'Modernising the Conservative Party'.
Nichol
as Allen (Essex) "Learning from defeat? Conservative leaders' conference speeches, 1997-2005".

Chair: Phil Cowley (Nottingham)

1B. The polls   (Marquee)

Simon Atkinson (MORI)
Peter Kellner (Yougov)
Nick Moon (NOP)

Chair: Colin Rallings (Plymouth)

1C. The BBC   (Reynolds Room)

Mark Damazer (Controller, Radio 4)
David Mena Aleman (University of the Americas-Puebla, Mexico) 'Can the BBC compete to deliver 'more than just what consumers want'?'

Chair: TBA

10.30-11:00   Refreshments (The Patio and Marquee) 

11.00-12.30 - Session II

2A. The forecasters: Didn't they do well?   (Marquee)

David Sanders (Essex)
Paul Whiteley (Essex)
'Can we Forecast the Forecasters? An Evaluation of Rival Forecasting Models of the 2005 General Election in Britain'.
Michael Lewis-Beck (Iowa)
John Curtice (Strathclyde) and David Firth (Warwick), 'The BBC/ITV Exit Poll'.

Chair: Jane Green (Oxford)

2B. Other media (Reynolds Room)

Adam Boulton (Sky)
Steven Perkins (Ofcom) '
Viewers and Voters: Attitudes to television coverage of the 2005 General Election'.

Chair: John Bartle (Essex)

2C. Voting Behaviour I   (Morant Room)

        Bob Andersen (McGill) and Geoff Evans (Oxford), 
   
     'The effect of party leaders on voting'.
        Steve Fisher (Oxford) and John Curtice (Strathclyde), 
        'Tactical unwind or a new kind of anti-Blairite tactical voting?'
         Christopher Wlezien (Temple), 
   
     'The Evolution of Electoral Preferences during the Campaign: 
        What the Polls Do (and Don't) Tell Us
'

        Chair: Justin Fisher (Brunel)  

12.45-1:45   Finger buffet lunch (Marquee)
 
 1.15- 1.45   EPOP Annual General Meeting (Reynolds Room)


2:00-3.30 - Session III  

3A. Newspapers/Media  (Reynolds Room)

Dominic Wring and David Deacon (Loughborough), 'More megaphone than dog whistle:  media reporting of the 2005 General Election'.
Maggie Scammell (LSE) '
The press: still for Labour, despite Blair' (Tables)
Bob Franklin (Cardiff) "Amateurs or Adversaries? Local Journalism and Local Newspaper Reporting of the 2005 General Election"

Chair: Colin Seymour-Ure

3B. Analysing party competition  (Wetherall Room)

Judith Bara (Queen Mary and Westfield), 'The 2005 manifestos: A sense of deja vu?'
Sara
Hobolt (Oxford) and Robert Klemmensen (Southern Denmark), "Why Labour Didn't Listen? Party Competition and Issue Responsiveness in the Recent British and U.S. Elections"
Pippa Norris (Harvard) '
Did the Media Matter?Persuasion, Priming and Mobilization Effects in the 2005 British General Election Campaign'.

Chair: Steve Fisher (Oxford)

3C. Political Choice in Britain 2005: The First BES Report (Marquee)

Harold Clarke (University of Texas at Austin)
David Sanders (Essex)
Marianne Stewart (University of Texas at Austin)
Paul Whiteley (Essex)  

Chair: Anthony Mughan (Ohio State)

3D. Aspects of the campaign (Morant Room)

Rachel Gibson and Stephen Ward (Australia and Sydney), 'Parties and the virtual campaign: the 2005 election online'. (Slides)
Heinz Brandenburg (Aberdeen), 'Party Strategy and Media Bias A Quantitative Analysis of the 2005 UK election campaign'.
Jon Tonge and Jocelyn Evans (Salford), 'The onward march of Paisleyism or a triumph of unionist apathy? Turnout and voting for the  Democratic Unionist Party in the 2005 Westminster Election in Northern Ireland '.

Chair: Tom Quinn (Essex)

 3.30- 4:00   Refreshments (The Patio and The Albert Room)

4:00-5.30 - Session IV

4A. Electoral systems (Wetherall Room)

Adrian Kavanagh, Department of Geography, NUI Maynooth 'How would the result have differed with a PR-STV electoral system?' (Appendix)
Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher (Plymouth), 'The electoral consequences of postal voting at the 2005 general election'.
Adrian Blau (Manchester) '
The new three-party politics?'.

Chair: Ron Johnston (Bristol)

4B. Voting Behaviour II (Reynolds Room)

Anthony Mughan (Ohio State University) 'The conditionality of leader effects'.
Richard Scullion (Bournemouth) 'Investigating the meaning of electoral choice through a 'Consumer as choice maker' lens. Case studies from The British General Election of 2005'.
K Nagatomi  (Sheffield) 'Independent success in local executive elections: analysis of the results of the 2005 English mayoral elections'. (Slides)

Chair: Paul Whiteley (Essex)

4C. Local campaigning (Morant Room)

Phil Cowley and Mark Stuart (Nottingham), 'Being policed?  Or just pleasing themselves?  Electoral rewards and punishment for legislative behaviour in an era of localised campaigning effects: the case of the UK in 2005'. (Slides)
Justin Fisher (Brunel) 'Constituency Campaigning at the 2005 General Election?'
Lisa Harrison & Dean McSweeney (UWE) 'Persuasion in Local Campaigns: a case study of the South West'

Chair: David Denver

6.00-7.30 Roundtable

The British Election: American perspectives  (Marquee)

Sam Popkin (San Diego, California)
James Stimson (Chapel Hill, North Carolina) '
Policy Sentiment in the UK: Reflections on the 2005 Elections in Longitudinal Perspective'.
Jack Nagel (Pennsylvania)

Chair: Ian Budge (Essex)

 7.30   Refreshments (The Patio)

 7.45   Cash bar open (Marquee)

 8.00   Dinner (Marquee)


Sunday 11 September

7:30-9.00   Breakfast - Harwich Court Delegates (Food On 3) 

8:00-9.00   Breakfast - Wivenhoe House Delegates (The Albert Room)

9:00             Registration and Key Collection Opens (Hotel Lobby)
 


9.00-10.30 - Session V

5A. Women and the general election (Wetherall Room)

Lisa Harrison (University West of England) 'Electoral Strategies and Female Candidacy: Comparing Trends in the 2005 and 2001 General Elections'.
Sarah Childs (University of Bristol) and Rosie Campbell (London), 'Feminizing British Politics: Sex and Gender in the 2005 General Election' (Slides)
Rosie Campbell (London) and Kristi Winters (Essex) 'Hearts or Minds?  Men, Women and Candidate Evaluations in the 2005 General Election.(Slides)

Chair: TBA

5B. Academic perspectives on electoral administration (Reynolds Room)  

Sarah Birch (Essex) 'Explaining Confidence in the Conduct of Elections'.
Bob Watt (Essex) 'Power to the people'.

Chair: John Bartle (Essex)

5C. Geography  (Morant Room)

David Rossiter, Charles Pattie (Sheffield) and R Johnston (Bristol) - 'Biased again: translating a 3-point lead in votes to a 25-point lead in seats'. 
E Fieldhouse, D Cutts and A Russell (Manchester)- 'Neither north nor south: the geography of Liberal democrat voting in 2005.'
D Dorling (Sheffield) - 'Partisan alignment'. (Slides)
R Johnston and R Harris (Bristol) 'Another geography of turnout: respondents and non-respondents to the BES'

Chair: Geoff Evans (Oxford)

11.00-12.30 - Session V

6A.The regulators (Reynolds Room)

Sam Younger (Electoral Commission)
John Turner (Association of Electoral Administrators)

Chair: Sarah Birch (Essex)

 
6B. Political Marketing and the UK Election: Reaching the political consumer
(Morant Room)

Darren G Lilleker, (Centre for Public Communication Research, Bournemouth University), The local dimension – peripheral or integral?
Nigel Jackson (Centre for Public Communication Research, Bournemouth University), Banking Online: the use of the Internet by political parties to build relationships with voters’.
Ivor Gaber (Goldsmiths), ‘
The Autistic Campaign: the parties, the media and the voters’.

Chair: Dominic Wring (Loughborough)


Conference ends